The Strait of Hormuz has been blocked by both Iran and the US. The result is a disruption of a large share of the supply of global crude oil and gas, but also petrochemical feedstock materials for fertilizers. While this energy and resource shock is truly global in reach, its impact is felt differently in different world regions, as this joint PRIF blog article shows. 

Within displacement camps across Benue State, Nigeria, governance is increasingly shaped by informal digital practices that emerge alongside weakened institutional response systems. Support structures are overstretched and camp conditions remain precarious, while governance is often assumed to rest solely with external actors. Yet within these spaces, displaced youth are forging alternative…

Quase cinco meses depois de um golpe de Estado ter interrompido o processo eleitoral na Guiné-Bissau, a violência política e a repressão contra civis e contra os meios de comunicação social têm contribuído para uma transição política sem fim corroendo as perspetivas democráticas. Numa dinâmica conversacional, reunimos as nossas perspetivas enquanto investigadora em paz e conflitos, jornalista e…

Four months after a coup interrupted the electoral process in Guinea-Bissau, political violence and repression against civilians and the media have contributed to an unending political transition while eroding democratic prospects. In a conversational collage, we bring together our perspectives as a peace and conflict researcher, a journalist and teacher, and as a media studies scholar. Taking…

There is a growing tendency in American politics to attribute Trump’s decision to go to war with Iran to his being misled by Netanyahu. While this may explain his choice, it obscures the structures that enable one person to destabilize global security with minimal domestic or international support. Moreover, narratives emphasizing external influence on Trump misrepresent the U.S.-Israel power…

On 10 April, Djibouti will kick off one of the four elections in the Horn of Africa in 2026—Djibouti, Ethiopia, Somalia, and South Sudan. Conflict trends across the region indicate that these upcoming elections will act as stress multipliers, amplifying existing tensions rather than creating new ones. This has the potential to worsen ongoing insurgencies and unresolved political disputes, and to…

Nach den US-amerikanischen Militärschlägen im vergangenen Sommer gegen den Iran verkündete US-Präsident Trump sämtliche Nuklearanlagen des Landes seien vernichtet worden. Während andere Stimmen weniger weitreichende Einschätzungen verlauten ließen, zeigte sich dennoch, dass mehrere Anlagen signifikanten Schaden erlitten haben. Nichtsdestotrotz wurden in den Kriegshandlungen seit dem 28. Februar…

Die deutsche Rüstungsindustrie wächst seit dem Ukrainekrieg stark und gewinnt politisch sowie wirtschaftlich an Bedeutung. Dagegen kommt die europäische Verteidigungskooperation nur schleppend voran, die stärkere Synergien im Beschaffungswesen schaffen könnte. Gleichzeitig wird die deutsche Sicherheits- und Verteidigungsindustrie auch im Hinblick auf die Rüstungsexportpolitik unterstützt, etwa…