The United States has long been the most vital ally for Ukraine in terms of military aid, economic support, and pressuring Russia through sanctions and diplomatic initiatives. Consequently, both Kyiv and Moscow look primarily to the United States when it comes to the international politics of the war. Due to the outsized role of the United States in this conflict, commentators have predicted that the course of the war would shift if Donald J. Trump would be elected US president on 5 November. But what is the merit of such forecasts?
Kategorie: Serien/Reihen
Securing the Vote: How the US Elections Have Become More Resilient to Threats to Election Integrity
The upcoming US presidential elections will serve as a stress test for election administration. Election denialism, (violent) threats and harassment, and concerns about foreign influence have shaped previous electoral environments. The 2022 midterm elections provided insights into the resilience of the electoral process and the state of implementation of a substantial new legislative package that was introduced after the 2020 presidential elections. While some challenges remain, the electoral infrastructure is ready to face Donald Trump’s potential claims of vote rigging and election denial.
UN Summit of the Future: Why the Climate-Gender-Conflict Nexus Would Be a Game Changer
World leaders and international civil society will gather in New York on 22-23 September 2024 for the UN Summit of the Future. The Summit is an event where world leaders meet and address current international issues and challenges to find consensus on how to create a better and safer present and future. This blog article takes issue with how the climate-gender-conflict nexus is (not) discussed in the lead-up to the summit. Reviewing the summit documents, I argue that the (draft) Pact for the Future treats gender justice, climate crisis, and conflict as separate silos of challenges, overlooking their interconnectedness. Instead, I emphasize the need for the Summit of the Future to take the climate-gender-conflict nexus seriously, recognizing the climate crisis as a risk multiplier that exacerbates gender inequalities and conflict dynamics.
Going over the Guardrails? China Policy in the 2024 US Election
No matter who wins the US presidential elections in November, the United States will likely continue a more confrontative China policy launched under Trump in 2017. A second Trump administration, however, would likely mean an end to the Biden-era “guardrails” against escalation. It would also make it much harder for Europe to assert its own interests and conduct an independent China policy.
Zur Bedeutung gaming-naher Plattformen für radikalisierte Akteur*innen und Radikalisierungsprozesse
Die Debatte zur Nutzung von Gaming-Plattformen durch radikalisierte Akteur*innen hat sich infolge der Live-Übertragungen der Anschläge von Christchurch und Halle im Jahr 2019 intensiviert. Trotz des gestiegenen Interesses und obwohl deutliche Hinweise auf Radikalisierungsaktivitäten in diesen digitalen Räumen vorliegen, mangelt es bislang an fundierten Forschungsergebnissen. Das Verbundprojekt RadiGaMe strebt an, diese Lücke zu schließen. In einer ersten Phase wurden am PRIF 20 Gaming- und gaming-nahe Plattformen untersucht, um Einblicke in deren Funktionsweise sowie Relevanz für radikalisierte Akteur*innen zu erlangen. Der vorliegende Beitrag fokussiert exemplarisch auf die Plattformen Discord und Steam.
Von Streamern, Gamern und Bad Actors – Antidemokratische Kommunikationsformen auf Streamingplattformen
Livestreaming ist in den Fokus der Radikalisierungsforschung gerückt. Der 2019 verübte rechtsterroristische Anschlag auf Moscheen im neuseeländischen Christchurch, das Attentat auf eine Synagoge in Halle im selben Jahr oder der im Januar 2021 initiierte Sturm auf das US-Kapitol, sie alle haben gemeinsam, dass die Taten gestreamed wurden und von einem Millionen Publikum live verfolgt werden konnten. Das Phänomen ist aber nicht auf diese aufsehenerregenden Fälle begrenzt. Wie dieser Blog zeigt, nehmen antidemokratische Einflussnahmen auf Livestreaming-Plattformen immer weiter zu. Am Beispiel dreier Plattformen wird gezeigt, wie demokratiefeindliche Inhalte und extremistische Botschaften verbreitet werden.
The New US Administrations’ Africa Policies: What to Expect and Why it Matters
In terms of foreign and security policy, the pivot to Asia will define the tenure of the next US administration. However, strategic competition at the global level between the US, China and, to a lesser extent, Russia will not leave the Africa policy of either the Democratic or the Republican side untouched. This post will look at the future Africa policies of the two parties and how they may affect partnerships on the continent as well as multilateral approaches more broadly.
Pixel, Politik, Polemik – Digitale Gaming-Welten als politische und gesellschaftliche Diskursräume
Videospiele sind ein wachsender Wirtschaftszweig und eine beliebte Freizeitbeschäftigung. Gaming- und gaming-nahe digitale Plattformen werden zudem immer mehr zu politischen Diskursräumen, in denen sich Millionen von Menschen zu aktuellen Ereignissen austauschen Sie sind Bestandteil moderner Wahlkämpfe und werden für politische Bildungsarbeit genutzt. Wichtige gesellschaftliche Debatten werden hier abgebildet, und beeinflusst. Deshalb ist es unabdingbar, digitale Gaming-Welten als neue gesellschaftliche Diskursräume zu begreifen, ihren Einfluss ernst zu nehmen und sie in politische Kommunikationsstrategien einzubeziehen. Dies gilt insbesondere deshalb, weil anti-demokratische Akteure momentan Teile dieser Gaming-Räume zu beeinflussen versuchen und demokratische Gegenrede unzureichend praktiziert wird.
Keeping up the Ban against FGM/C: A Strong Signal for Reproductive Health and Rights from The Gambia to the World
Despite a 2015 ban, Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting (FGM/C) remains practiced in The Gambia. A recent bill to repeal the ban now endangered legislative progress so many Gambian women have been holding onto as well as longstanding efforts of civil society organizations. On 15 July 2024, following extensive community engagement and advocacy, the bill was successfully rejected. In the face of a global backlash against sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR), what can activists worldwide learn from this success? This blog features an interview with Fatou Baldeh, founder of Women in Liberation and Leadership (WILL) and a leading activist in maintaining the FGM/C ban.
Going to the Polls (Dis)Informed? The Role of Disinformation in the Upcoming US Elections
On July 21, 2024, Joe Biden announced that he would be dropping out of the race, only a week after the assassination attempt on now official Republican candidate, Donald Trump. The electoral campaign which has so far been characterized by immense uncertainty, provides a perfect breeding ground for the spread of disinformation about the candidates and election process itself. As the stakes of the upcoming US elections remain incredibly high for both domestic and international politics, disinformation is becoming one of the most pressing challenges of our time.
